Statistics and Data Analysis for ESAT Mathematics 1

Updated July 2026

Mastering statistics is vital for the ESAT to interpret and compare data sets accurately. This guide covers calculating and estimating central tendency and spread for ungrouped and grouped data, interpreting graphical representations like histograms, and understanding the advantages and disadvantages of different summary values.

Core concept

Statistics describe a population using measures of central tendency (mean, median, mode) and dispersion (range, interquartile range), requiring specific estimation techniques when data is grouped into intervals where exact values are unknown.

Mean, mode, median and range for ungrouped data

The mean, median, and mode are all types of averages used to describe the centre of a data set.

  1. The mean of a list of nn numbers is the sum of those numbers divided by nn. The mean does not necessarily have to be one of the numbers in the list.

mean=sum of all values in the listnumber of values in the listmean = \frac{\text{sum of all values in the list}}{\text{number of values in the list}}

If the data is in a frequency table, the sum is found by multiplying each value by its frequency and adding the results.

  1. The median is the middle value when nn numbers are arranged in order of size. It is the value at position n+12\frac{n+1}{2}.

If nn is odd, the median is a specific number in the list. If nn is even, the median falls between two numbers and is calculated as their average. In a frequency table, the median is found by counting through the frequencies to find the position n+12\frac{n+1}{2}.

  1. The mode is the most frequent value. A data set can have one mode, multiple modes, or no mode at all. It must always be one of the values present in the data.

  2. The range measures how spread out the data is. It is the positive difference between the largest and smallest values. When using a frequency table, ensure the range is calculated from the possible values, not the frequencies.

Worked Example: Mean of Ungrouped Data

Find the mean of: 1193, 1194, 1196, 1198, 1199, 1201, 1203, 1204, 1205, 1207.

Method 1 (Direct Calculation): (1193+1194+1196+1198+1199+1201+1203+1204+1205+1207)÷10=12,000÷10=1200(1193 + 1194 + 1196 + 1198 + 1199 + 1201 + 1203 + 1204 + 1205 + 1207) \div 10 = 12,000 \div 10 = 1200.

Method 2 (Subtraction from Smallest): Subtract 1193 from every value: 0, 1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 10, 11, 12, 14. Mean of differences: 70÷10=770 \div 10 = 7. Add back: 1193+7=12001193 + 7 = 1200.

Method 3 (Reference Point): Using 1200 as a central reference, the differences are: -7, -6, -4, -2, -1, 1, 3, 4, 5, 7. As shown in the diagram, these balance each other out to a sum of zero.

img-246.jpeg

The average of these differences is 0÷10=00 \div 10 = 0, so the mean is 1200+0=12001200 + 0 = 1200.

Worked Example: Median, Mode, and Range

Find these values for: 2, 5, 4, 1, 0, 6, 4, 8, 6, 9, 3, 8, 7, 1, 8, 6.

First, order the 16 values: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 4, 4, 5, 6, 6, 6, 7, 8, 8, 8, 9. Median position: 16+12=8.5\frac{16+1}{2} = 8.5. The 8th value is 5 and the 9th is 6, so median = 5+62=5.5\frac{5+6}{2} = 5.5. Mode: There are three 6s and three 8s, so there are two modes: 6 and 8. Range: 90=99 - 0 = 9.

Grouped data: Modal class and estimates

Grouped data provides class intervals rather than specific numbers. Because exact values are unknown, statistics must be estimated.

  1. The modal class is the interval with the highest frequency.
  2. The range is estimated as the difference between the lower limit of the lowest interval and the higher limit of the highest interval.
  3. The mean estimate is calculated using the mid interval value (xx) for each class. It is an estimate because it assumes a symmetric distribution within the classes.

Mean(f×x)fMean \approx \frac{\sum (f \times x)}{\sum f}

  1. The median estimate is found by identifying the interval containing the n+12\frac{n+1}{2}th item and using linear interpolation.

Worked Example: Shopper Ages

A shopping centre records ages (xx):

Age IntervalFrequency (ff)Mid-interval (xx)f×xf \times x
10x1910 \leq x \leq 19514.572.5
20x2920 \leq x \leq 291024.5245
30x3930 \leq x \leq 391234.5414
40x4940 \leq x \leq 491844.5801
50x5950 \leq x \leq 592554.51362.5
60x6960 \leq x \leq 693564.52257.5
70x7970 \leq x \leq 792074.51490

Modal class: 60x6960 \leq x \leq 69 (frequency 35). Estimated Range: 7910=6979 - 10 = 69. Estimated Mean: Total (f×x)=6642.5\sum (f \times x) = 6642.5. Total shoppers f=125\sum f = 125. Mean = 6642.5÷125=53.146642.5 \div 125 = 53.14, or 53 to the nearest year. Estimated Median: Position 125+12=63\frac{125+1}{2} = 63. Cumulative frequency reaches 45 before the 50x5950 \leq x \leq 59 class. The 63rd age is the 6345=1863 - 45 = 18th age in this group of 25. The estimate uses the rank of 17.5:

img-247.jpeg

This gives 57.2, or 57 to the nearest year.

Advantages and disadvantages of summary data

  1. Mean: Includes every data value, but is heavily skewed by outliers.
  2. Mode: Can be used for non numerical data, but may fall at an extreme edge rather than the centre.
  3. Median: Not affected by outliers, but only usable for ordered data.
  4. Range: Shows the full spread, but is sensitive to extreme values.
  5. Interquartile Range (IQR): Measures the spread of the middle 50% (difference between upper quartile Q3Q3 and lower quartile Q1Q1). It is resistant to outliers but ignores 50% of the data.

Worked Example: Wage Distribution

A factory has 6 cleaners (£x), 36 machinists (£2x), 3 managers (£5x), and 1 owner (£50x). The mean is approximately £3.1x, which is unrepresentative of the majority who earn £2x. The median and mode (£2x) better represent the central trend. The IQR effectively shows the wage of the majority, while the range highlights the massive disparity created by the owner salary.

Graphical estimation: Cumulative frequency

img-245.jpeg

From a cumulative frequency graph:

  1. The median is found at frequency n2\frac{n}{2}.
  2. Quartiles are found at n4\frac{n}{4} (Lower Quartile) and 3n4\frac{3n}{4} (Upper Quartile).
  3. The modal class is the interval where the graph is steepest.
  4. The range is estimated from the horizontal spread of the curve.

Worked Example: History Test

For 70 students and a test out of 40:

img-248.jpeg

Median: At 35 students, the mark is approximately 17.5. Quartiles: Q1Q1 (17.5 students) is 12.25 marks; Q3Q3 (52.5 students) is 21.5 marks. IQR=21.512.25=9.25IQR = 21.5 - 12.25 = 9.25.

img-249.jpeg

Mean Estimation: Divide the graph into intervals, find the mid intervals, and multiply by the frequency increase in each segment.

IntervalFreqMidpointF x Mid
5<m105 < m \leq 10127.590
10<m1510 < m \leq 151112.5137.5
15<m2015 < m \leq 202517.5437.5
20<m2520 < m \leq 251422.5315
25<m3025 < m \leq 30627.5165
30<m3530 < m \leq 35132.532.5
35<m4035 < m \leq 40137.537.5
Total701215

Mean estimate = 1215÷70=17.41215 \div 70 = 17.4.

Graphical estimation: Histograms

In a histogram, frequency density is defined as frequencyclass width\frac{\text{frequency}}{\text{class width}}. The area of the bar represents the frequency.

img-250.jpeg

Worked Example: Plant Heights

Total number of plants: Sum of (frequency density ×\times width). 1×5+1.6×5+2.4×5+3×5+2×10=5+8+12+15+20=601 \times 5 + 1.6 \times 5 + 2.4 \times 5 + 3 \times 5 + 2 \times 10 = 5 + 8 + 12 + 15 + 20 = 60.

img-251.jpeg

Mean estimate: (5×7+8×12+12×17+15×22+20×29.5)÷60=20.9(5 \times 7 + 8 \times 12 + 12 \times 17 + 15 \times 22 + 20 \times 29.5) \div 60 = 20.9. Modal class: The highest bar, 19.5x<24.519.5 \leq x < 24.5. Median class: Position 60+12=30.5\frac{60+1}{2} = 30.5. Cumulative frequencies are 5, 13, 25, 40. The 30.5th item is in the 19.5x<24.519.5 \leq x < 24.5 class.

Using median and interquartile range to compare distributions

Comparing datasets involves looking at central tendency and spread like for like.

For example, when comparing two factories, Factory A (Range 4, IQR 2) and Factory B (Range 11, IQR 6), Factory A is more consistent because its measures of spread are smaller. If a buyer needs a consistent supply of at least 11 units, they would choose Factory A if its lower bound (Upper Quartile minus Range) is at least 11. Specifically, if Factory A has an Upper Quartile of 15 and a Range of 4, its minimum value is at least 154=1115 - 4 = 11.

Key takeaways

  • The mean, median, and mode are measures of central tendency, while range and interquartile range (IQR) describe the spread of data.
  • Calculations for grouped data are always estimates because the individual raw data points are lost within the intervals.
  • On a cumulative frequency graph, the modal class corresponds to the steepest section of the curve.
  • In histograms, frequency is the area of the bar (frequency density multiplied by class width), not the height.
  • When comparing distributions, use the median for a robust central measure and the IQR for a spread measure that resists outliers.
Tips

For the ESAT, if you are given a list of large numbers close together, pick a central 'guessed mean' and calculate the average of the differences to save time and reduce arithmetic errors.

Cautions

Never calculate the range using frequencies. Always use the actual data values or the boundaries of the class intervals.

Insight

The gradient of a cumulative frequency graph at any point is equal to the frequency density of the data at that point. This provides a direct mathematical link between cumulative frequency curves and histograms.

Frequently asked questions

Why is the interquartile range often better than the range for comparing data?

The range is calculated using only the two most extreme values, meaning a single outlier can massively distort it. The interquartile range (IQR) measures the middle 50% of the data, providing a more reliable picture of the typical spread.

When must the mode be used instead of the mean or median?

The mode must be used for non numerical (categorical) data, such as favourite colours or car brands, where calculating a sum or ordering the data is impossible.

How do you find the modal class in a histogram if the class widths are different?

In a histogram, the modal class is the one with the highest frequency density (the tallest bar), which represents the highest concentration of data per unit width.

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